De Graafschap vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
HFC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
AZA
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
RJC
0 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
UTR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
ZWO
5 - 1
TWE
15%
25%
60%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 5
WIL
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
FEY
5 - 5
ZWO
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
HFC
2 - 1
ZWO
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |