De Graafschap vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
GRA
1 - 2
TWE
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
GRA
0 - 2
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
GRO
2 - 4
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
GRA
0 - 4
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
UTR
0 - 1
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
UTR
0 - 1
FOR
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
WIL
3 - 0
UTR
63%
20%
16%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 2
UTR
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |