De Graafschap vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
GAE
1 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
5 - 1
GRA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 4
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
GRO
3 - 2
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
UTR
4 - 2
TWE
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
UTR
5 - 2
WIL
74%
16%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 6
HSV
29%
25%
47%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 0
UTR
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |