De Graafschap vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1999 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 1
AZA
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
GRA
0 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 2
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1999 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
TWE
0 - 3
AZA
53%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 5
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
TWE
0 - 0
VIT
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |