De Graafschap vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
GRA
2 - 3
VIT
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
SCH
2 - 2
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 1
NAC
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRA
54%
24%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
GRA
3 - 2
GAE
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1995 |
WIL
5 - 2
TWE
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
TWE
2 - 2
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
72%
16%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
TWE
0 - 1
RKC
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
RJC
0 - 0
TWE
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |