De Graafschap vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
TEL
0 - 3
GRA
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ADO
0 - 0
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALM
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRA
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
VVV
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
FCD
2 - 2
ALM
18%
20%
62%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VVV
4 - 2
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
JUT
0 - 4
FCD
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
FCD
2 - 0
ALK
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 2
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |