De Graafschap vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
APE
4 - 2
GRA
37%
25%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
VVV
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
GAE
1 - 2
GRA
57%
21%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
HEL
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRA
33%
25%
41%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
FCD
0 - 0
SPA
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
HFC
0 - 2
FCD
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
FCD
1 - 1
BVV
43%
25%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
BVO
2 - 0
FCD
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCD
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |