De Graafschap vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 1
RJC
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 3
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 0
GRA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
GRA
5 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOS
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 4
GRO
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 1
SPA
65%
20%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
TWE
4 - 0
BOS
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 0
RKC
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |