De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 1
OSA
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ADO
3 - 5
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 3
HER
21%
24%
56%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
12%
20%
69%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
TWE
13%
19%
68%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FEY
3 - 0
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |