De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
GRA
0 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 2
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 1
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
GRA
2 - 3
RJC
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
AZA
4 - 3
UTR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 1
TWE
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 0
RJC
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SPA
0 - 0
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
MVV
2 - 1
AZA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |