De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
RJC
0 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
UTR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
GAE
1 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
5 - 1
GRA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
AZA
2 - 1
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 0
AZA
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
LIV
3 - 2
AZA
50%
25%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
AZA
2 - 2
LIV
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |