De Graafschap vs Almere City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRA
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
TEL
0 - 0
GRA
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 1
GRA
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 1
ALM
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
HEL
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 2
ALM
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 3
FCD
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |