De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SCH
1 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
JON
2 - 0
GRA
33%
25%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GRA
4 - 2
TWE
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
RKC
2 - 0
GRA
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
0 - 1
FCK
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
SCH
5 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
FCK
0 - 0
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |