De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
GRA
0 - 3
UTR
37%
25%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
GRA
0 - 4
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
GRA
5 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
RKC
1 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 2
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
AJA
5 - 1
TWE
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FEY
3 - 1
AJA
44%
24%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
AJA
6 - 2
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |