De Graafschap vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
HFC
0 - 3
GRA
27%
27%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
VVV
1 - 2
GRA
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
GRA
2 - 0
FCO
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
HEL
0 - 0
GRA
22%
23%
54%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
GRA
4 - 1
FOR
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
APE
0 - 2
TEL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
HEL
2 - 2
APE
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
APE
2 - 1
BVV
30%
25%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
MVV
5 - 0
APE
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
APE
1 - 2
ZWO
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |