Gozzano vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GOZ
2 - 4
ASD
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GOZ
33%
27%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GOZ
5 - 0
UNI
13%
21%
65%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 3
GOZ
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GOZ
1 - 1
SET
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 1
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASD
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAR
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
UNI
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 2
VAR
8%
15%
77%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |