Gozzano vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 1
OLG
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
3 - 0
ASD
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
GOZ
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
GOZ
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VBE
0 - 2
CRE
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
PON
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DCA
3 - 1
CRE
21%
22%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -3 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 1
GRU
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |