Gozzano vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LIG
0 - 0
GOZ
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
GOZ
4 - 1
AST
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
GOZ
3 - 3
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 3
GOZ
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
GOZ
0 - 0
BOR
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
NOV
16%
21%
64%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FOS
0 - 4
ASD
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
LAV
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 0
ASD
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |