Gozzano vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
GOZ
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GOZ
4 - 0
INV
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 3
GOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GOZ
2 - 0
CUN
27%
27%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
GOZ
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
VAR
89%
9%
3%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
VAR
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SET
89%
9%
3%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 2
VAR
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -2 |