Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-1
Göztepe vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1970 |
FEN
1 - 3
GOZ
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1970 |
IST
1 - 1
GOZ
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
GOZ
1 - 2
ANK
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1970 |
GOZ
3 - 1
ESK
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1970 |
GOZ
1 - 1
ESK
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
ULU
2 - 3
GOZ
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
GOZ
3 - 0
ULU
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
ANT
1 - 0
ULU
70%
16%
14%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
ULU
0 - 1
ANT
34%
21%
45%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1965 |
KOL
13 - 0
ULU
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |