Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-2
Göztepe vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
GOZ
3 - 0
BJK
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
ANK
0 - 1
GOZ
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1969 |
GAL
2 - 0
GOZ
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
GOZ
1 - 0
ESK
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MER
2 - 0
GOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
ANT
1 - 0
ULU
70%
16%
14%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
ULU
0 - 1
ANT
34%
21%
45%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1965 |
KOL
13 - 0
ULU
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
ULU
0 - 4
KOL
24%
22%
55%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
MUN
6 - 0
ULU
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |