Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Göztepe vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
GOZ
0 - 1
FEN
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
GOZ
2 - 0
TUR
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
GEN
0 - 1
GOZ
46%
29%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
GOZ
0 - 0
ANK
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
BJK
1 - 0
GOZ
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
OPA
3 - 0
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
CAR
6 - 0
HUL
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
BIR
1 - 1
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
CAR
0 - 1
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
CAR
4 - 0
ASV
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |