Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-5
Göztepe vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
TUR
2 - 0
GOZ
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
GOZ
1 - 0
GEN
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
GOZ
4 - 1
FER
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
GOZ
1 - 1
SEK
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
VEF
0 - 0
GOZ
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
BOL
1 - 3
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
BRE
0 - 1
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |