Gozón vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HIS
2 - 2
GOZ
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GOZ
2 - 3
ATL
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GOZ
0 - 2
FRE
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
PDV
5 - 0
GOZ
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GOZ
1 - 4
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 0
TIN
49%
24%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
NAR
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAR
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 0
RAI
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SLC
3 - 1
NAR
72%
16%
13%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |