Goytre United vs Trefelin analysis

Goytre United Trefelin
34 ELO 35
8.6% Tilt 2.6%
5822º General ELO ranking 4331º
44º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
42.8%
Goytre United
20.8%
Draw
36.4%
Trefelin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
Goytre United
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
36.4%
Win probability
Trefelin
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Goytre United
-57%
+38%
Trefelin

Points and table prediction

Goytre United
Their league position
Trefelin
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
14º
12º
28
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barry Town
78
78
100%
Briton Ferry
60
60
0%
Llanelli Town AFC
60
60
0%
Carmarthen Town
52
52
100%
Afan Lido
47
47
100%
Cambrian & Clydach
47
47
100%
Llantwit Major
45
45
100%
Cwmbran Celtic
38
38
100%
Pontardawe Town
35
35
100%
Taffs Well
10º
33
33
10º
0%
Ammanford AFC
11º
33
33
11º
0%
Goytre United
12º
32
32
12º
0%
Abergavenny Town
13º
32
32
13º
0%
Trefelin
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Swansea University
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Ynyshir Albions
16º
24
24
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Goytre United
Trefelin
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Goytre United
Trefelin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Goytre United
Goytre United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
YAF
Ynyshir Albions
1 - 1
Goytre United
GOY
25%
20%
55%
34 24 10 0
02 Jan. 2023
GOY
Goytre United
3 - 2
Briton Ferry
BRI
10%
17%
73%
29 48 19 +5
27 Dec. 2022
BRI
Briton Ferry
4 - 1
Goytre United
GOY
83%
12%
5%
31 48 17 -2
06 Dec. 2022
GOY
Goytre United
4 - 3
Llantwit Major
LLA
16%
18%
67%
27 43 16 +4
26 Nov. 2022
GOY
Goytre United
1 - 5
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
24%
21%
55%
29 38 9 -2

Matches

Trefelin
Trefelin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2023
BRI
Briton Ferry
2 - 0
Trefelin
TRE
73%
16%
11%
36 47 11 0
02 Jan. 2023
TRE
Trefelin
2 - 2
Afan Lido
LID
28%
23%
50%
36 43 7 0
27 Dec. 2022
LID
Afan Lido
3 - 1
Trefelin
TRE
61%
20%
19%
37 42 5 -1
06 Dec. 2022
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
1 - 4
Trefelin
TRE
56%
22%
23%
35 39 4 +2
26 Nov. 2022
YAF
Ynyshir Albions
2 - 3
Trefelin
TRE
28%
21%
51%
35 27 8 0