Goytre United vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 2
GOY
82%
12%
5%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 0
CAM
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 1
GOY
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 3
TRE
50%
20%
30%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 0
GOY
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
3 - 1
ABE
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 4
TAF
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAA
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
TRE
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |