Goytre United vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
14º
12º
32
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 0
GOY
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
4 - 2
GOY
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
GOY
32%
23%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOY
2 - 2
TAF
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TAF
0 - 2
GOY
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 0
PON
56%
20%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 1
ABE
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
TAF
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 3
ABE
81%
11%
7%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
BAR
9%
18%
73%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |