Goytacaz vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 0
GOY
21%
23%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 1
CGA
32%
23%
46%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
GOY
19%
21%
59%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GOY
3 - 1
DUQ
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
OLA
1 - 1
GOY
26%
25%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NCI
1 - 0
SER
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
SFC
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
6 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |