Rio Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Goytacaz vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 2
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
GOY
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOY
4 - 1
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
GOY
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BON
1 - 0
GOY
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
0 - 0
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
OLA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 0
PET
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 2
PET
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
OLA
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |