Goytacaz vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
GOY
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GOY
1 - 2
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
GOY
51%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
GOY
1 - 0
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
GOY
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
AME
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 2
MAC
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
GOY
51%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AME
0 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
GOY
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |