Goytacaz vs Nova Cidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
GOY
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
GOY
2 - 2
SFC
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
GOY
56%
25%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 0
CIG
50%
22%
27%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
GOY
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
SER
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
NCI
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
FRI
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
4 - 0
PER
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +6 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
NCI
58%
23%
18%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |