Goya vs Villa del Prado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
44.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDG
5 - 5
CAS
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ACA
3 - 0
CDG
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CDG
2 - 1
EMA
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
CDG
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 1
ALA
74%
14%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villa del Prado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MCF
4 - 1
VDP
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VDP
1 - 1
ALC
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 1
VDP
30%
21%
49%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 3
VDP
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VDP
1 - 1
ACA
62%
18%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |