Goya vs Casa de Canarias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ACA
3 - 0
CDG
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CDG
2 - 1
EMA
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
CDG
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 1
ALA
74%
14%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDG
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casa de Canarias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 2
MCF
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 3
VDP
17%
18%
65%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAS
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |