Goya vs ADC San Fermín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
12%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GND
2 - 3
CDG
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
AAC
38%
21%
41%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LMA
3 - 3
CDG
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 0
EVM
21%
20%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LMJ
1 - 3
CDG
53%
23%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ADC San Fermín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
ADL
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
GND
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AAC
3 - 1
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
LMA
17%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
EVM
6 - 1
SAN
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |