Gouvy vs Longlier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOU
48%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AYW
2 - 0
GOU
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GOU
0 - 0
HBN
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SER
7 - 0
GOU
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GOU
0 - 1
MEI
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Longlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 3
AYW
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
LON
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LON
6 - 0
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
LON
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LON
1 - 4
RAE
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |