Gouveia vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
73%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
14º
13º
17
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
GOU
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
MOR
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
GOU
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 4
TON
7%
14%
80%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 2
FAV
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
COI
2 - 1
UFT
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
ALE
62%
19%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POM
1 - 1
UFT
20%
20%
61%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UFT
2 - 3
ADP
84%
11%
6%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |