Gouveia vs Alverca II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+93%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
14º
13º
39
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
GOU
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GOU
1 - 4
USA
21%
25%
55%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GOU
0 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
GOU
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GOU
0 - 0
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
VIT
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
COI
1 - 2
FCA
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
RAB
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
FCA
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 1
UFT
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +5 |