Gouveia vs Estarreja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
52.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ANA
2 - 2
GOU
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GOU
3 - 1
RDA
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +4 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
GOU
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GOU
2 - 4
CES
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GON
3 - 1
GOU
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
GON
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOI
2 - 1
EST
18%
19%
63%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CES
1 - 4
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
EST
1 - 3
ANA
38%
27%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
RDA
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |