Gouveia vs Estarreja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 0
GOU
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
GOU
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 2
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
GOU
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 3
GAF
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EST
3 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
EST
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
ANA
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |