Gouveia vs Estarreja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 1
GOU
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GOU
3 - 0
SAO
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CES
2 - 0
GOU
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
4 - 1
GOU
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 2
GAF
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 0
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
SAO
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |