Gouveia vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FAV
1 - 0
GOU
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GOU
0 - 1
COI
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 67 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
GOU
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 1
LEC
9%
18%
74%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
GOU
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
COI
0 - 0
CAS
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
FAV
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
GOU
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
COI
2 - 1
CAS
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |