Goulburn Valley Suns vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goulburn Valley Suns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DAN
6 - 3
GOU
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 4
HUM
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
GOU
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PAS
3 - 0
GOU
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 3
NOR
13%
18%
70%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 2
OAK
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
NOR
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 1
SOU
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 0
WEC
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |