Gosport Borough vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CIR
2 - 1
GOS
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
STA
1 - 3
GOS
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 2
GOS
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GOS
1 - 0
WES
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GOS
2 - 6
HEM
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 1
CHM
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 1
GLO
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CHM
0 - 3
EAS
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HAY
0 - 5
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 2
WHI
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |