Gosport Borough vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 0
GOS
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GOS
2 - 1
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
HAY
2 - 3
GOS
19%
23%
59%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
GOS
3 - 2
SUT
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GOS
3 - 1
BAT
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 2
BRO
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 0
CHM
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CHM
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CHM
2 - 1
STA
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |