GOŠK Gabela vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
12º
5
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 42 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
96.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOŠK Gabela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 3
ZEL
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BBL
3 - 0
GOS
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 1
POS
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
GOS
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 4
ZRI
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
IGM
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 3
VEL
17%
26%
57%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 2
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
ZEL
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |