Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
9º
18º
13º
36
2º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Gorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
OWD
0 - 1
GOR
80%
15%
6%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 1
MLE
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TSP
4 - 0
GOR
81%
13%
5%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 2
WRO
8%
18%
74%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
KLU
3 - 0
GOR
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Polonia Nysa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
KSP
2 - 1
LKS
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PAW
4 - 0
KSP
73%
15%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
KSP
4 - 1
CAR
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
STB
1 - 3
KSP
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WRO
2 - 2
KSP
88%
8%
3%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |