Gornyak vs Zenit Izhevsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
GUC
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
TYU
4 - 1
GUC
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUC
1 - 0
AKT
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
GUC
1 - 2
SYZ
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
DIN
0 - 1
GUC
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Izhevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ZEN
3 - 0
AKT
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ZEN
1 - 1
SYZ
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
DIN
1 - 1
ZEN
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
OKT
2 - 1
ZEN
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 0
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |