Gornyak vs Volga Ulyanovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
DIN
1 - 2
GUC
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
GUC
1 - 0
SOK
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 0
GUC
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FCC
3 - 3
GUC
39%
27%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
GAZ
1 - 0
GUC
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Volga Ulyanovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
VOL
1 - 2
TYU
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
SGI
1 - 0
VOL
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
VOL
1 - 0
RUB
78%
16%
5%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
AKT
2 - 1
VOL
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
VOL
2 - 1
UFA
24%
27%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |