Gornyak vs Ural Yekaterinburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
SOK
0 - 1
GUC
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
GUC
1 - 0
FCC
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2010 |
GUC
2 - 3
GAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
TYU
2 - 1
GUC
59%
21%
19%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
GUC
1 - 1
SGI
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ural Yekaterinburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
DIN
0 - 2
URA
20%
28%
52%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
YAR
1 - 1
URA
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2010 |
URA
2 - 0
DIN
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
URA
1 - 0
BAL
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
URA
1 - 0
IRT
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |