Gornyak vs Syzran-2003 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
DIN
0 - 1
GUC
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
OKT
0 - 1
GUC
21%
23%
57%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
GUC
2 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
GUC
0 - 2
RUB
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
GAZ
3 - 0
GUC
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Syzran-2003
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SYZ
2 - 2
AKT
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
SYZ
0 - 1
DIN
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
SYZ
2 - 0
OKT
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 4
SYZ
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RUB
2 - 1
SYZ
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |